Elite Defections, Opposition Fragmentation, and the Risk of Party Predominance in Nigeria
Vol. 2, Issue 26 ● 9-15 December 2025 Executive Summary Nigeria’s formal multiparty democracy is entering a period of heightened vulnerability, with structural indicators pointing toward the gradual consolidation of de facto one-party predominance. Since 2023, elite defections, strategic political alignments, and weak enforcement of party-regulation rules have produced a measurable realignment of power in favour […]